What's really moving these markets

Why isn’t the oil market reacting to Iran?

Why isn’t oil surging as the Iran conflict escalates? Plus, why Oracle (ORCL) dropped after solid earnings… Will AI force the Fed to hike rates? … Can Kevin Warsh actually change the Fed? … And an El Niño trading opportunity.

Strait of Hormuz

The Hormuz math just got even uglier

Iran launched attacks on U.S. military bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan—retaliation for American strikes near the Strait of Hormuz. As the escalation keeps climbing, here's what the numbers actually tell you about the risk ahead.

Oil prices

Iran just put $100 oil back in play

Iran reportedly suspended indirect talks with the U.S. and is threatening to completely block the Strait of Hormuz. That matters because roughly 20% of the world's oil flows through this narrow chokepoint. Here's what it means for oil prices, energy…

The real chokepoint at the Strait of Hormuz

War-risk insurance premiums on Strait of Hormuz transits have surged from pre-war levels, and shipping traffic has collapsed by roughly 95%. Here's how insurers are controlling oil transit… and what it means for your portfolio.

Nvidia

Did you miss the boat on Nvidia?

Nvidia (NVDA): The world's greatest company… Plus, the division in Big Tech… Why Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) is plummeting… Is Micron Technology (MU) a buy? … Iran and oil… A trade on an EV stock… And Nike's (NKE) earnings.