The Iran ceasefire trade just cracked
Markets spent three weeks pricing in relief from the U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Now that trade is cracking. With the Strait of Hormuz back in focus, here’s what investors need to watch.
The inflation number everyone feared just arrived
U.S. inflation climbed to 4.2% in May, the highest reading in more than three years. Here's what the data actually says, what the Fed is likely to do next, and how to position your portfolio for higher-for-longer rates.
Big changes at the Fed: What it means for your money
Warsh's first Fed meeting: Rate hikes are on the table. Plus, the oil opportunity no one is talking about… Intel (INTC) proves the "Trump circle" thesis… Is SpaceX (SPCX) a buy on its pullback?... And stocks losing the AI race.
Will falling oil prices drive the Fed to cut rates?
Will crashing oil lead to lower inflation? And what to expect from Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting. Plus, SpaceX's (SPCX) move to buy Cursor… AI capex is unlike anything we've ever seen… And introducing Curzio Alpha.
Why isn’t the oil market reacting to Iran?
Why isn’t oil surging as the Iran conflict escalates? Plus, why Oracle (ORCL) dropped after solid earnings… Will AI force the Fed to hike rates? … Can Kevin Warsh actually change the Fed? … And an El Niño trading opportunity.
Trump’s Kharg Island threat changes the calculus for oil
Trump just threatened to seize Kharg Island and other Iranian oil infrastructure. Kharg handles roughly 90% of Iran's crude oil exports. Here's what this escalation actually means for your portfolio.
The Hormuz math just got even uglier
Iran launched attacks on U.S. military bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan—retaliation for American strikes near the Strait of Hormuz. As the escalation keeps climbing, here's what the numbers actually tell you about the risk ahead.
A generational opportunity in offshore oil
John Stephenson of Granite Point Research breaks down the structural shift in the oil market… the new risk/reward setup for deepwater drilling… why oil companies are flocking to Africa… and a junior pure play with generational upside.
Oil could hit $120 this summer
Get ready for $120 oil. Plus, why Broadcom (AVGO) is selling off… Can politicians derail AI? … The SpaceX (SPCX) IPO… What's the Bitcoin (BTC) bull case? … Prediction markets are moving in on exchanges… And private equity redemption caps.
The latest sanctions won’t stop the Iran oil machine
The U.S. is tightening sanctions on Iran's oil network. But Iranian barrels are still moving through China and a shadow fleet of tankers, shell companies, and middlemen. Here's why that fragile workaround system matters for crude prices—and energy stocks.
A deal with Iran would be bullish for energy stocks
An Iran deal won't solve high oil prices—and that's good news for energy stocks. Plus, the Fed should use this overlooked tool to lower interest rates… Does stopping out change a thesis? … And are drones the next Trump trade?
The real chokepoint at the Strait of Hormuz
War-risk insurance premiums on Strait of Hormuz transits have surged from pre-war levels, and shipping traffic has collapsed by roughly 95%. Here's how insurers are controlling oil transit… and what it means for your portfolio.
This tiny offshore driller is ahead of the majors in the global energy race
BluEnergies (BLUGF) CEO Craig Steinke on why Big Oil is rushing into West Africa… the company's "multibillion-barrel" opportunity, legendary leadership, and TotalEnergies (TTE) partnership… And catalysts for the stock over the next 12 months.
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