What's really moving these markets

Why isn’t the oil market reacting to Iran?

Why isn’t oil surging as the Iran conflict escalates? Plus, why Oracle (ORCL) dropped after solid earnings… Will AI force the Fed to hike rates? … Can Kevin Warsh actually change the Fed? … And an El Niño trading opportunity.

Strait of Hormuz

The Hormuz math just got even uglier

Iran launched attacks on U.S. military bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan—retaliation for American strikes near the Strait of Hormuz. As the escalation keeps climbing, here's what the numbers actually tell you about the risk ahead.

John Stephenson, Granite Point Research

A generational opportunity in offshore oil

John Stephenson of Granite Point Research breaks down the structural shift in the oil market… the new risk/reward setup for deepwater drilling… why oil companies are flocking to Africa… and a junior pure play with generational upside.

Oil prices

Oil could hit $120 this summer

Get ready for $120 oil. Plus, why Broadcom (AVGO) is selling off… Can politicians derail AI? … The SpaceX (SPCX) IPO… What's the Bitcoin (BTC) bull case? … Prediction markets are moving in on exchanges… And private equity redemption caps.

Oil prices

Iran just put $100 oil back in play

Iran reportedly suspended indirect talks with the U.S. and is threatening to completely block the Strait of Hormuz. That matters because roughly 20% of the world's oil flows through this narrow chokepoint. Here's what it means for oil prices, energy…

Oil price

The soft landing has an oil problem

Oil’s sustained price is a major indicator that few are watching. If crude stays elevated, it could keep inflation sticky, limit the Fed’s flexibility, squeeze corporate margins, and shift market leadership. Here’s how to position your portfolio.

The real chokepoint at the Strait of Hormuz

War-risk insurance premiums on Strait of Hormuz transits have surged from pre-war levels, and shipping traffic has collapsed by roughly 95%. Here's how insurers are controlling oil transit… and what it means for your portfolio.

Is AI in a bubble?

Everyone's calling AI a bubble. But a closer look at the numbers shows this boom is still in the early innings—and the biggest winners will come from these five sectors.