The Iran blockade changed the rate outlook again
The renewed U.S. blockade of Iran sent Brent crude surging… and forced investors to rapidly rethink the Fed's next move. Here's what to watch in oil, bonds, and your portfolio now.
The Fed just told you it has no idea what’s next
The Fed held rates steady at its June meeting, but the minutes show the committee was split almost exactly down the middle on the direction of interest rates for 2026. It's a signal for every investor paying attention.
The Iran ceasefire trade just cracked
Markets spent three weeks pricing in relief from the U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Now that trade is cracking. With the Strait of Hormuz back in focus, here’s what investors need to watch.
The inflation number everyone feared just arrived
U.S. inflation climbed to 4.2% in May, the highest reading in more than three years. Here's what the data actually says, what the Fed is likely to do next, and how to position your portfolio for higher-for-longer rates.
Gold just broke below $4,000—is the thesis dead?
Gold just cracked $4,000 an ounce—a sharp reversal from its all-time high in late January. Here's what's driving the selloff, what the smart money is doing, and where the real opportunity lives from here.
The Fed just told you: Don’t count on rate cuts
The Fed held rates steady on June 17—but the real news was that the FOMC quietly stripped "easing bias" language out of its statement, and the dot plot now points toward hikes. Here's what that actually means for your money.
Will falling oil prices drive the Fed to cut rates?
Will crashing oil lead to lower inflation? And what to expect from Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting. Plus, SpaceX's (SPCX) move to buy Cursor… AI capex is unlike anything we've ever seen… And introducing Curzio Alpha.
The Hormuz math just got even uglier
Iran launched attacks on U.S. military bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan—retaliation for American strikes near the Strait of Hormuz. As the escalation keeps climbing, here's what the numbers actually tell you about the risk ahead.
Brace for a market pullback
A market correction is coming… and that's good news. Plus, Senator Warren vs. the SpaceX IPO… Hot CPI data… New Fed chair, old Fed tricks… Gold has more room to fall… And $1 million Bitcoin (BTC) is off the table.
The stagflation scare is back—is it time to panic?
The latest economic data has revived fears of stagflation—a painful mix of weak growth and stubborn inflation. But today's economy isn't the 1970s. Here's what the numbers actually say… and what investors should watch next.
The soft landing has an oil problem
Oil’s sustained price is a major indicator that few are watching. If crude stays elevated, it could keep inflation sticky, limit the Fed’s flexibility, squeeze corporate margins, and shift market leadership. Here’s how to position your portfolio.
Inflation could hit 5% before the midterms
The market has spent months celebrating the death of inflation. It was premature. The CPI is accelerating fast… And if the current trend holds, inflation could exceed 5% by November. Here's what that means for your portfolio right now.
The beginning of the end for OPEC
The UAE's exit from OPEC. Plus, Powell's final meeting as Fed chair… Trump's Strait of Hormuz blockade… Big Tech is reporting—and this stock's results matter most… And The Wall Street Journal's OpenAI piece.
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