Banks are still one of the most-hated sectors in the world.
According to a recent Gallup poll, just 33% of consumers said they have a positive view on banks.
This is not all that surprising.
During the 2008-’09 credit crisis, banks were one of the worst-hit sectors. In an effort to generate more profits, banks began lending money to unqualified borrowers (subprime loans). In 2008, the financial sector nearly shut down as most people walked away from these loans.Of course, this is the short version of what took place during the credit crisis. But banks were secretly adding more risk to their balance sheets. And most of the world — including our regulatory authorities — knew little about it.
In the end, most of these banks needed cash infusions. Without these injections from our government, several big companies in this sector may have fallen into bankruptcy. That includes heavyweights like Citigroup (C) and Bank of America (BAC).
Today, most people still have a negative opinion on banks. However, this shouldn’t discourage investors from buying some of the large banking stocks. After all, they are likely to see huge gains over the next 12 months as the Federal Reserve begins to raise interest rates.
Let me explain …
Rising interest rates are widely viewed as a negative for stocks. Borrowing costs for consumers and businesses are moving higher. Plus, higher interest rates could persuade investors to move their money out of stocks and into interest-paying alternatives.But higher interest rates are great for bank stocks. That’s because the spread between the cost to borrow money and the actual rates banks can charge their customers widens.
You see, banks have plenty of cheap money at their disposal. (The average interest rate on a savings account, for example, is about 0.26% right now). But with interest rates rising, banks can lend that money back out at much higher rates — in a mortgage at 4%, for example.The higher those rates go, the wider the spread gets … and the bigger the banks’ profits.In fact, banks will be the first to tell you how rising rates will be great for their bottom line. They write about it in their annual reports.
For example, JPMorgan (JPM) said it would generate nearly $3 billion in additional net income if rates rise by 1%. Bank of America said a similar increase in rates would lead to nearly $4 billion in additional net income for the company.
To put these billions in perspective, this would amount to a 14% increase in net income for JPMorgan and a 27% increase in net income for Bank of America. This is based on the net income these companies generated over the past 12 months.*Estimates based on interest rates rising 1% from hereTo play this banking trend, you can buy JPMorgan and Bank of America today. These names are dirt-cheap, have strong balance sheets and are likely to raise their dividends going forward. With interest rates expected to rise over the next 12 months, these individual stocks should easily outperform the market.
Another good way to play this trend is to buy the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF). Its top holdings include some of the biggest banks in North America. The yield on XLF is 1.8%, which is slightly higher than the average S&P 500 company.
Rising interest rates are almost a given for 2016. The best way to make money from this trend is by adding some financial exposure to your portfolio right away.
Read the signs. Beat the market.
The market intelligence you need to invest one step ahead. Go beyond the headlines. Invest with an insider’s edge.
Books are a big part of Wall Street culture. Luke shares his favorite book of all time… and the simple lesson that helped him find the path to big, long-term investment gains.
Learn why Chinese property manager Evergrande rocked the market this week… why it poses a threat to the global economy… and why U.S. investors should invest in China with caution.
It’s time to put on our rally hats… As we near the end of the year, we’re about to enter the mega green zone for stocks. And Luke’s spotted two ETFs primed for huge gains...
Leo Mann, author of Don't Sign That, shares the contract clause that could cost you your soul… the five clauses (and six words) you must pay attention to before signing anything… and the hidden danger of "shadow equity."
Breaking down the hot PPI, rising energy prices, and how to prepare for the coming market correction. Plus, answering listener questions on Oracle (ORCL), Take-Two (TTWO), Meta (META), and Nike (NKE).
Why the Fed should raise rates by 50 basis points next week. Plus, rising yields will crush stocks… The coming pullback will be a buying opportunity… Will AI "kill us all"? … And Robinhood's "tokenization" efforts.
The market could pull back 20% from current levels. Plus, Bessent's bond move… Sectors to buy (and avoid) as long-term rates rise… Offshore oil stocks… How to manage big winners… And one of the best business models in the world.
How midterms will impact the data center trade. Plus, Nvidia (NVDA) is still a bargain at current levels… Dick's (DICKS) disastrous quarter… Is Smith & Wesson (SWBI) a buy? … And why is Peter Thiel's Bullish (BLSH) crashing?
Have institutions killed the tokenization trend? Plus, Northern Dynasty Minerals (NAK) vs. Coppernico Metals (CPPMF)... Walmart (WMT) vs. Target (TGT)... Will the Clarity Act finally pass this year? … And another horrible SPAC crushing retail investors.
The U.S. is tightening sanctions on Iran's oil network. But Iranian barrels are still moving through China and a shadow fleet of tankers, shell companies, and middlemen. Here's why that fragile workaround system matters for crude prices—and energy stocks.
The latest economic data has revived fears of stagflation—a painful mix of weak growth and stubborn inflation. But today's economy isn't the 1970s. Here's what the numbers actually say… and what investors should watch next.
Oil’s sustained price is a major indicator that few are watching. If crude stays elevated, it could keep inflation sticky, limit the Fed’s flexibility, squeeze corporate margins, and shift market leadership. Here’s how to position your portfolio.
War-risk insurance premiums on Strait of Hormuz transits have surged from pre-war levels, and shipping traffic has collapsed by roughly 95%. Here's how insurers are controlling oil transit… and what it means for your portfolio.
The Trump administration plans to drop $2 billion on nine quantum computing companies in exchange for equity stakes. IBM (IBM) gets the biggest slice, but the pure-play names are seeing the real upside. Here's what this signal means for investors.
President Trump's Beijing summit with President Xi produced few clear-cut answers on important geopolitical topics. But beneath Trump's ambiguous comments are five important signals investors should watch.
The market thought AI spending had peaked. Big Tech earnings just proved otherwise. With CapEx accelerating and demand surging, the opportunity is expanding. Here's what the numbers reveal—and where investors should be looking next.