The Iran ceasefire trade just cracked
Markets spent three weeks pricing in relief from the U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Now that trade is cracking. With the Strait of Hormuz back in focus, here’s what investors need to watch.
The inflation number everyone feared just arrived
U.S. inflation climbed to 4.2% in May, the highest reading in more than three years. Here's what the data actually says, what the Fed is likely to do next, and how to position your portfolio for higher-for-longer rates.
Gold just broke below $4,000—is the thesis dead?
Gold just cracked $4,000 an ounce—a sharp reversal from its all-time high in late January. Here's what's driving the selloff, what the smart money is doing, and where the real opportunity lives from here.
Big changes at the Fed: What it means for your money
Warsh's first Fed meeting: Rate hikes are on the table. Plus, the oil opportunity no one is talking about… Intel (INTC) proves the "Trump circle" thesis… Is SpaceX (SPCX) a buy on its pullback?... And stocks losing the AI race.
The Fed just told you: Don’t count on rate cuts
The Fed held rates steady on June 17—but the real news was that the FOMC quietly stripped "easing bias" language out of its statement, and the dot plot now points toward hikes. Here's what that actually means for your money.
Why isn’t the oil market reacting to Iran?
Why isn’t oil surging as the Iran conflict escalates? Plus, why Oracle (ORCL) dropped after solid earnings… Will AI force the Fed to hike rates? … Can Kevin Warsh actually change the Fed? … And an El Niño trading opportunity.
The stagflation scare is back—is it time to panic?
The latest economic data has revived fears of stagflation—a painful mix of weak growth and stubborn inflation. But today's economy isn't the 1970s. Here's what the numbers actually say… and what investors should watch next.
A deal with Iran would be bullish for energy stocks
An Iran deal won't solve high oil prices—and that's good news for energy stocks. Plus, the Fed should use this overlooked tool to lower interest rates… Does stopping out change a thesis? … And are drones the next Trump trade?
Inflation could hit 5% before the midterms
The market has spent months celebrating the death of inflation. It was premature. The CPI is accelerating fast… And if the current trend holds, inflation could exceed 5% by November. Here's what that means for your portfolio right now.
The market is wrong about rate cuts—and that’s a big problem
The market is still betting on rate cuts. But inflation remains elevated, and energy disruptions are adding new pressure. If cuts don't come, it spells trouble for the market. Here's what you need to know.
What the hot PPI means for the market
The PPI came in hot: What it means for interest rates… Why the market NEEDS a rate cut… Key takeaways from Nvidia's (NVDA) GTC conference… Is NVDA a buy at current levels? … And the latest massive tech layoffs.
Is the Mag 7 trade falling apart?
Big Tech's big valuation gap. Plus, wrapping up Davos… General Electric's (GE) post-earnings selloff could be a warning sign… Will AI kill the software sector? … Bitmine Immersion Tech's (BMNR) Mr. Beast investment… And an investing lesson from natgas's surge.
Big banks are quietly printing money—and there’s way more upside
Big banks just reported excellent earnings—and the upside is just getting started. Here's why this is the best environment for financials in 30 years… and how investors can profit.
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